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Visiteur: The levies are also likely to reduce America€™s economic output, as has happened before. A 2020 study, based on data from 151 countries, including the US, between 1963-2014, found that tariffs have €œpersistent adverse effects on the size of the pie,€ or the gross domestic product of the country imposing them.
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There are a number of possible explanations for this.

One is that, when tariffs are low or non-existent, the country in question can focus on the kind of economic activities where it has an edge and export those goods and services, Gimber told CNN.
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€œIf you raise tariffs, you€™re not going to see that same level of specialization,€ he said, noting that the result would be lower labor productivity. €œThe labor could be better used elsewhere in the economy, in areas where you have a greater competitive advantage.€
Another reason output falls when tariffs are raised lies in the higher cost of imported inputs, wrote the authors of the 2020 study, most of them International Monetary Fund economists.

Fatas at INSEAD suggested the same reason, providing an example: €œSo I€™m a worker and work in a factory. To produce what we produce we need to import microchips from Taiwan. Those things are more expensive. Together, me and the company, we create less value per hour worked.€

Yet another way tariff hikes can hurt the economy is by disrupting the status quo and fueling uncertainty over the future levels of import taxes. That lack of clarity is particularly acute this year, given the erratic nature of Trump€™s trade policy.

Surveys by the National Federation of Independent Business in the US suggest the uncertainty is already weighing on American companies€™ willingness to invest. The share of small businesses planning a capital outlay within the next six months hit its lowest level in April since at least April 2020, when Covid was sweeping the globe.

€œThe economy will continue to stumble along until the major sources of uncertainty (including over tariffs) are resolved. It€™s hard to steer a ship in the fog,€ the federation said.

Whichever forces may be at work, the IMF, to cite just one example, thinks higher US tariffs will lower the country€™s productivity and output.

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Visiteur: When wildfire ripped through Hawaii€™s Maui last August, the impact was devastating: a whole town reduced to ashes, more than 100 lives lost. The inferno was described as the €œlargest natural disaster in state history.€

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Health influencer @drmercola suggested to his 504,000 followers whether, while the media focused on climate change, the fires might have been deliberately set to €œto facilitate a land grab€ to make the area a €œsmart city€ €” referring to a technology-focused urban design idea.
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A natural parenting influencer, whose Instagram page is filled with soft-focus pictures of herself against pretty pastel backgrounds, implied to her 76,000-strong community that Hawaii€™s wildfires were started by €œdirected energy weapons€ €” systems which use energy such as laser beams.

These posters are all wellness influencers €” a loosely-defined umbrella term for a wide range of accounts including yoga, lifestyle, fitness, alternative health and new age spirituality.

While conspiracy theories about the Hawaii wildfires spread across the internet last year, it may seem surprising they were also seized upon by part of the wellness community.

But for years there has been a merging of wellness, disinformation and conspiracy, as a subset of influencers use the backdrop of aesthetically pleasing, pastel-colored posts to spread much darker messages, weaving together alarming conspiracy theories with calls for users to buy their supplements or services.

This phenomenon exploded during the pandemic, when anti-vax sentiment took hold in large parts of the wellness community. As interest in the pandemic waned, experts say some wellness influencers have latched on to climate change to galvanize followers.

Their concern: Those influencers €” some with hundreds of thousands of followers €” are exposing new, and younger, audiences to a slew of misinformation and undermining efforts to tackle the climate crisis.

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